Liberty
Innovation is measured by whether it expands ownership, access, and voluntary exchange.
Private fund · Independent research
Vellum Capital invests in Bitcoin and cryptoassets on a multi-cycle horizon — positions grounded in nine years of published research on durable ledgers, market structure, and individual liberty.
A durable surface for records designed to outlast their authors.
2017Founded · nine years of market cycles
PublicEvery thesis dated and open
Multi-cycleLong-horizon positioning
Our thesis
Trustless settlement, self-executing contracts, and incentives tuned for automated participants were never concessions to poor human usability. They were the design target. Humans speculated their way in; the machine era is the destination.
The convergence of crypto rails with AI and autonomous agents is the demand this asset class has not yet priced, and it is what the portfolio is positioned for.
Read the June 2026 letterHow we evaluate
Innovation is measured by whether it expands ownership, access, and voluntary exchange.
Protocols, incentives, and infrastructure beneath the price chart.
Uncertainty, liquidity, and the humbling information contained in prices.
The public record
Written December 2018. Argued that crypto market cap and trading volume were manipulated measures that told investors almost nothing, and that Bitcoin held most of the real long-term upside despite roughly half the nominal market share. The critique of those metrics has aged better than the metrics.
Read essayPublished June 2026. Argues that crypto's design target was never the human user, and that the AI and agent economy is the demand the asset class has not yet priced. This is the current house view, and the letter says plainly that it could be wrong.
Read essayWritten June 2018, when an imminent Tether collapse was close to consensus. Argued the market-manipulation case against it was unproven. Defended an unpopular read when it cost something to do so; Tether did not collapse.
Read essay
Why Vellum
Vellum was the writing surface chosen for records meant to outlast their authors. Better systems for recording ownership create profound economic change — that conviction is the firm.
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